Accumulation Trend Peaks At A 3-Year High – What’s Driving The Surge?


According to data shared by renowned crypto analyst Ali, Bitcoin has recently witnessed a significant development in its investment dynamics, marking a notable shift in the crypto market.

In a post on X published earlier today, Ali disclosed that Bitcoin is experiencing a substantial accumulation streak, which has not been seen in nearly three years.

According to the analyst, this surge in the Accumulation Trend Score indicates the growing confidence among larger entities in the cryptocurrency market.

Ali’s shared data further reveals that the Accumulation Trend Score for Bitcoin has consistently hovered near the peak level of 1 over the past four months. This sustained high score signals an active and ongoing accumulation by big investors.

A Surge In Large-Scale BTC Holdings

Further complimenting this near 3-year accumulation trend streak, Ali’s recent data revealed that the Bitcoin market has welcomed approximately 67 new “whales.” These entities, each holding over 1,000 BTC, represent a 4.50% increase in this category of investors within two weeks.

This increase in whale activity coincided with a period where Bitcoin experienced a notable dip, falling below the critical $39,000 threshold. Ali noted: “While some shivered with fear during the recent price correction, Bitcoin whales were accumulating more BTC.”

This downturn was primarily attributed to a significant outflow from Grayscale, amounting to over $5 billion since the Bitcoin Spot ETF was approved by the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

However, as this outflow has cooled off, Bitcoin has shown signs of recovery, trading above the $42,500 mark and registering a 6.1% increase in the past week.

Bitcoin (BTC) price chart on TradingView.com
BTC price is moving sideways on the 4-hour chart. Source: BTC/USDT on TradingView.com

Bitcoin Poised For 40% Surge?

Shifting the focus to the broader financial landscape, Arthur Hayes, founder of BitMEX, has offered an analysis of current economic conditions and their potential impact on Bitcoin. His commentary is particularly relevant in light of recent challenges faced by New York Community Bancorp (NYCB) and the banking sector.

The bank’s significant stock decline, driven by unexpected losses and a substantial increase in loan loss reserves, has raised concerns about the stability and exposure of US regional banks, especially in the real estate sector.

Hayes’s remarks point to a possible near-future scenario where the Federal Reserve might have to intervene by reinstating the Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP) or similar measures to stabilize the banking sector.

He parallels the current situation and the March 2023 banking crisis, suggesting that similar market turbulence could lead to a brief dip in Bitcoin’s value, followed by a significant rally.

Hayes postulates that such developments could see Bitcoin, often regarded as a digital gold or safe-haven asset, experience a surge in value similar to the 40% increase witnessed during the previous banking crisis.

Featured image from Unsplash, Chart from TradingView

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